What is the null hypothesis for the individual p-values in multiple regression?
I have a linear regression model for a dependent variable $Y$ based on two independent variables, $X1$ and $X2$, so I have a general form of a regression equation
$Y = A + B_1 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2 + epsilon$,
where $A$ is the intercept, $epsilon$ is the error term, and $B_1$ and $B_2$ are the respective coefficients of $X_1$ and $X_2$. I perform a multiple regression with software (statsmodel in Python) and I get coefficients for the model: $A = a, B_1 = b_1, B_2 = b_2$. The model also gives me $p$ values for each coefficient: $p_a$, $p_1$, and $p_2$. My question is: What is the null hypothesis for those individual $p$ values? For example, to obtain $p_1$ I know that the null hypothesis entails a 0 coefficient for $B_1$, but what about the other variables? In other words, If the null hypothesis is $Y = A + 0 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2$, what are the values of $A$ and $B_2$ for the null hypothesis from which the $p$-value for $B_1$ is derived?
regression p-value
New contributor
add a comment |
I have a linear regression model for a dependent variable $Y$ based on two independent variables, $X1$ and $X2$, so I have a general form of a regression equation
$Y = A + B_1 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2 + epsilon$,
where $A$ is the intercept, $epsilon$ is the error term, and $B_1$ and $B_2$ are the respective coefficients of $X_1$ and $X_2$. I perform a multiple regression with software (statsmodel in Python) and I get coefficients for the model: $A = a, B_1 = b_1, B_2 = b_2$. The model also gives me $p$ values for each coefficient: $p_a$, $p_1$, and $p_2$. My question is: What is the null hypothesis for those individual $p$ values? For example, to obtain $p_1$ I know that the null hypothesis entails a 0 coefficient for $B_1$, but what about the other variables? In other words, If the null hypothesis is $Y = A + 0 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2$, what are the values of $A$ and $B_2$ for the null hypothesis from which the $p$-value for $B_1$ is derived?
regression p-value
New contributor
2
Your model is missing an error term.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 19:48
add a comment |
I have a linear regression model for a dependent variable $Y$ based on two independent variables, $X1$ and $X2$, so I have a general form of a regression equation
$Y = A + B_1 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2 + epsilon$,
where $A$ is the intercept, $epsilon$ is the error term, and $B_1$ and $B_2$ are the respective coefficients of $X_1$ and $X_2$. I perform a multiple regression with software (statsmodel in Python) and I get coefficients for the model: $A = a, B_1 = b_1, B_2 = b_2$. The model also gives me $p$ values for each coefficient: $p_a$, $p_1$, and $p_2$. My question is: What is the null hypothesis for those individual $p$ values? For example, to obtain $p_1$ I know that the null hypothesis entails a 0 coefficient for $B_1$, but what about the other variables? In other words, If the null hypothesis is $Y = A + 0 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2$, what are the values of $A$ and $B_2$ for the null hypothesis from which the $p$-value for $B_1$ is derived?
regression p-value
New contributor
I have a linear regression model for a dependent variable $Y$ based on two independent variables, $X1$ and $X2$, so I have a general form of a regression equation
$Y = A + B_1 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2 + epsilon$,
where $A$ is the intercept, $epsilon$ is the error term, and $B_1$ and $B_2$ are the respective coefficients of $X_1$ and $X_2$. I perform a multiple regression with software (statsmodel in Python) and I get coefficients for the model: $A = a, B_1 = b_1, B_2 = b_2$. The model also gives me $p$ values for each coefficient: $p_a$, $p_1$, and $p_2$. My question is: What is the null hypothesis for those individual $p$ values? For example, to obtain $p_1$ I know that the null hypothesis entails a 0 coefficient for $B_1$, but what about the other variables? In other words, If the null hypothesis is $Y = A + 0 cdot X_1 + B_2 cdot X_2$, what are the values of $A$ and $B_2$ for the null hypothesis from which the $p$-value for $B_1$ is derived?
regression p-value
regression p-value
New contributor
New contributor
edited Dec 31 '18 at 19:47
Michael M
6,15332035
6,15332035
New contributor
asked Dec 30 '18 at 19:24
tmldwn
262
262
New contributor
New contributor
2
Your model is missing an error term.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 19:48
add a comment |
2
Your model is missing an error term.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 19:48
2
2
Your model is missing an error term.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 19:48
Your model is missing an error term.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 19:48
add a comment |
3 Answers
3
active
oldest
votes
The null hypothesis is
$$
H_0: B1 = 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R},
$$
which basically means that the null hypothesis does not restrict B2 and A.
The alternative hypothesis is
$$
H_1: B1 neq 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R}.
$$
In a way, the null hypothesis in the multiple regression model is a composite hypothesis. It is "fortunate" that we can construct a pivotal test statistic that does not depend on the true value of B2 and A, so that we do not suffer a penalty from testing a composite null hypothesis.
In other words, there are a lot of different distributions of $(Y, X1, X2)$ that are compatible with the null hypothesis $H_0$. However, all of these distributions lead to the same behavior of the the test statistic that is used to test $H_0$.
In my answer, I have not addressed the distribution of $epsilon$ and implicitly assumed that it is an independent centered normal random variable. If we only assume something like
$$
E[epsilon mid X1, X2] = 0
$$
then a similar conclusion holds asymptotically (under regularity assumptions).
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
2
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
1
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
|
show 5 more comments
You can make the same assupmtions for the other variables as the X1. The ANOVA table of the regression gives specific information about each variable significance and the overall significance as well.As far as regression analysis is concerned, the acceptance of null hypothesis implies that the coefficient of the variable is zero, given a certain level of significance.
If you want to acquire a more intuitive aspect of the issue, you can study more about Hypothesis testing.
add a comment |
The $p$-values are the result of a series of $t$-tests. The null hypothesis is that $B_j=0$, while the alternative hypothesis (again, for each coefficient) is, $B_jne0$
(see here for more details: http://reliawiki.org/index.php/Multiple_Linear_Regression_Analysis#Test_on_Individual_Regression_Coefficients_.28t__Test.29)
add a comment |
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3 Answers
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active
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3 Answers
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active
oldest
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active
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votes
The null hypothesis is
$$
H_0: B1 = 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R},
$$
which basically means that the null hypothesis does not restrict B2 and A.
The alternative hypothesis is
$$
H_1: B1 neq 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R}.
$$
In a way, the null hypothesis in the multiple regression model is a composite hypothesis. It is "fortunate" that we can construct a pivotal test statistic that does not depend on the true value of B2 and A, so that we do not suffer a penalty from testing a composite null hypothesis.
In other words, there are a lot of different distributions of $(Y, X1, X2)$ that are compatible with the null hypothesis $H_0$. However, all of these distributions lead to the same behavior of the the test statistic that is used to test $H_0$.
In my answer, I have not addressed the distribution of $epsilon$ and implicitly assumed that it is an independent centered normal random variable. If we only assume something like
$$
E[epsilon mid X1, X2] = 0
$$
then a similar conclusion holds asymptotically (under regularity assumptions).
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
2
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
1
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
|
show 5 more comments
The null hypothesis is
$$
H_0: B1 = 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R},
$$
which basically means that the null hypothesis does not restrict B2 and A.
The alternative hypothesis is
$$
H_1: B1 neq 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R}.
$$
In a way, the null hypothesis in the multiple regression model is a composite hypothesis. It is "fortunate" that we can construct a pivotal test statistic that does not depend on the true value of B2 and A, so that we do not suffer a penalty from testing a composite null hypothesis.
In other words, there are a lot of different distributions of $(Y, X1, X2)$ that are compatible with the null hypothesis $H_0$. However, all of these distributions lead to the same behavior of the the test statistic that is used to test $H_0$.
In my answer, I have not addressed the distribution of $epsilon$ and implicitly assumed that it is an independent centered normal random variable. If we only assume something like
$$
E[epsilon mid X1, X2] = 0
$$
then a similar conclusion holds asymptotically (under regularity assumptions).
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
2
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
1
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
|
show 5 more comments
The null hypothesis is
$$
H_0: B1 = 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R},
$$
which basically means that the null hypothesis does not restrict B2 and A.
The alternative hypothesis is
$$
H_1: B1 neq 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R}.
$$
In a way, the null hypothesis in the multiple regression model is a composite hypothesis. It is "fortunate" that we can construct a pivotal test statistic that does not depend on the true value of B2 and A, so that we do not suffer a penalty from testing a composite null hypothesis.
In other words, there are a lot of different distributions of $(Y, X1, X2)$ that are compatible with the null hypothesis $H_0$. However, all of these distributions lead to the same behavior of the the test statistic that is used to test $H_0$.
In my answer, I have not addressed the distribution of $epsilon$ and implicitly assumed that it is an independent centered normal random variable. If we only assume something like
$$
E[epsilon mid X1, X2] = 0
$$
then a similar conclusion holds asymptotically (under regularity assumptions).
The null hypothesis is
$$
H_0: B1 = 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R},
$$
which basically means that the null hypothesis does not restrict B2 and A.
The alternative hypothesis is
$$
H_1: B1 neq 0 : text{and} : B2 in mathbb{R} : text{and} : A in mathbb{R}.
$$
In a way, the null hypothesis in the multiple regression model is a composite hypothesis. It is "fortunate" that we can construct a pivotal test statistic that does not depend on the true value of B2 and A, so that we do not suffer a penalty from testing a composite null hypothesis.
In other words, there are a lot of different distributions of $(Y, X1, X2)$ that are compatible with the null hypothesis $H_0$. However, all of these distributions lead to the same behavior of the the test statistic that is used to test $H_0$.
In my answer, I have not addressed the distribution of $epsilon$ and implicitly assumed that it is an independent centered normal random variable. If we only assume something like
$$
E[epsilon mid X1, X2] = 0
$$
then a similar conclusion holds asymptotically (under regularity assumptions).
edited Dec 30 '18 at 21:26
answered Dec 30 '18 at 19:47
Andreas Dzemski
3195
3195
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
2
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
1
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
|
show 5 more comments
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
2
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
1
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
But as I understand it, doesn't the null hypothesis have to be a probability distribution? If I have specific values for the coefficients, I can generate a probability distribution by adding noise (epsilon) to the regression equation. But if I don't have specific values for coefficients, how would I generate the null probability distribution?
– tmldwn
Dec 30 '18 at 20:35
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
A composite null hypothesis is a whole set of possible probability measures.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 20:52
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
I have edited my answer to emphasize this point.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 21:28
2
2
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
@tmldwn: Here, the marginal distribution of the t-statistic does indeed not depend on where we are in the null. If you find this hard to understand then I suggest you go carefully through the derivation of the distribution of the t-statistic. Note that the t-statistic depends on the LS estimator. In a way this automatically adjusts the test statistic correctly for the "true" hypothesis in the null space (we don't have to take a stand on what A, B2 are because we don't need them to compute the test statistic).
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 31 '18 at 11:02
1
1
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
This answer is completely wrong. As explained in this document, there is anova for the whole regression, but a t-test for each coeffieicnt: reliawiki.org/index.php/…
– Josh
Dec 31 '18 at 15:47
|
show 5 more comments
You can make the same assupmtions for the other variables as the X1. The ANOVA table of the regression gives specific information about each variable significance and the overall significance as well.As far as regression analysis is concerned, the acceptance of null hypothesis implies that the coefficient of the variable is zero, given a certain level of significance.
If you want to acquire a more intuitive aspect of the issue, you can study more about Hypothesis testing.
add a comment |
You can make the same assupmtions for the other variables as the X1. The ANOVA table of the regression gives specific information about each variable significance and the overall significance as well.As far as regression analysis is concerned, the acceptance of null hypothesis implies that the coefficient of the variable is zero, given a certain level of significance.
If you want to acquire a more intuitive aspect of the issue, you can study more about Hypothesis testing.
add a comment |
You can make the same assupmtions for the other variables as the X1. The ANOVA table of the regression gives specific information about each variable significance and the overall significance as well.As far as regression analysis is concerned, the acceptance of null hypothesis implies that the coefficient of the variable is zero, given a certain level of significance.
If you want to acquire a more intuitive aspect of the issue, you can study more about Hypothesis testing.
You can make the same assupmtions for the other variables as the X1. The ANOVA table of the regression gives specific information about each variable significance and the overall significance as well.As far as regression analysis is concerned, the acceptance of null hypothesis implies that the coefficient of the variable is zero, given a certain level of significance.
If you want to acquire a more intuitive aspect of the issue, you can study more about Hypothesis testing.
answered Dec 30 '18 at 19:52
Logicseeker
184
184
add a comment |
add a comment |
The $p$-values are the result of a series of $t$-tests. The null hypothesis is that $B_j=0$, while the alternative hypothesis (again, for each coefficient) is, $B_jne0$
(see here for more details: http://reliawiki.org/index.php/Multiple_Linear_Regression_Analysis#Test_on_Individual_Regression_Coefficients_.28t__Test.29)
add a comment |
The $p$-values are the result of a series of $t$-tests. The null hypothesis is that $B_j=0$, while the alternative hypothesis (again, for each coefficient) is, $B_jne0$
(see here for more details: http://reliawiki.org/index.php/Multiple_Linear_Regression_Analysis#Test_on_Individual_Regression_Coefficients_.28t__Test.29)
add a comment |
The $p$-values are the result of a series of $t$-tests. The null hypothesis is that $B_j=0$, while the alternative hypothesis (again, for each coefficient) is, $B_jne0$
(see here for more details: http://reliawiki.org/index.php/Multiple_Linear_Regression_Analysis#Test_on_Individual_Regression_Coefficients_.28t__Test.29)
The $p$-values are the result of a series of $t$-tests. The null hypothesis is that $B_j=0$, while the alternative hypothesis (again, for each coefficient) is, $B_jne0$
(see here for more details: http://reliawiki.org/index.php/Multiple_Linear_Regression_Analysis#Test_on_Individual_Regression_Coefficients_.28t__Test.29)
edited Dec 31 '18 at 17:07
StatsStudent
4,69532042
4,69532042
answered Dec 31 '18 at 15:49
Josh
16911
16911
add a comment |
add a comment |
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2
Your model is missing an error term.
– Andreas Dzemski
Dec 30 '18 at 19:48