Probability problem of Birth Rate and GDP
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Ronnie obtained data about the gross domestic product (GDP) and the birth rate for 170 countries.
He classified each GDP and each birth rate as either ‘low’, ‘medium’ or ‘high’. The table shows the
number of countries in each category.
One country is chosen at random from those countries which have a medium GDP and then a different
country is chosen at random from those which have a medium birth rate. Find the probability that both countries chosen have a medium GDP and a medium birth rate.
P.S. This is a question from Cambridge Advanced Subsidiary Level and Advanced Level
My Try
I tried this with a Tree Diagram. First set of branches as Medium GDP and Second Set of branches as Medium Birth Rate.This got me the answer $frac{42}{74}timesfrac{42}{55}$.
First I need to know if this is correct.Secondly
can you help me to do this using conditional probability? Thanks a lot.
probability
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Ronnie obtained data about the gross domestic product (GDP) and the birth rate for 170 countries.
He classified each GDP and each birth rate as either ‘low’, ‘medium’ or ‘high’. The table shows the
number of countries in each category.
One country is chosen at random from those countries which have a medium GDP and then a different
country is chosen at random from those which have a medium birth rate. Find the probability that both countries chosen have a medium GDP and a medium birth rate.
P.S. This is a question from Cambridge Advanced Subsidiary Level and Advanced Level
My Try
I tried this with a Tree Diagram. First set of branches as Medium GDP and Second Set of branches as Medium Birth Rate.This got me the answer $frac{42}{74}timesfrac{42}{55}$.
First I need to know if this is correct.Secondly
can you help me to do this using conditional probability? Thanks a lot.
probability
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Ronnie obtained data about the gross domestic product (GDP) and the birth rate for 170 countries.
He classified each GDP and each birth rate as either ‘low’, ‘medium’ or ‘high’. The table shows the
number of countries in each category.
One country is chosen at random from those countries which have a medium GDP and then a different
country is chosen at random from those which have a medium birth rate. Find the probability that both countries chosen have a medium GDP and a medium birth rate.
P.S. This is a question from Cambridge Advanced Subsidiary Level and Advanced Level
My Try
I tried this with a Tree Diagram. First set of branches as Medium GDP and Second Set of branches as Medium Birth Rate.This got me the answer $frac{42}{74}timesfrac{42}{55}$.
First I need to know if this is correct.Secondly
can you help me to do this using conditional probability? Thanks a lot.
probability
$endgroup$
Ronnie obtained data about the gross domestic product (GDP) and the birth rate for 170 countries.
He classified each GDP and each birth rate as either ‘low’, ‘medium’ or ‘high’. The table shows the
number of countries in each category.
One country is chosen at random from those countries which have a medium GDP and then a different
country is chosen at random from those which have a medium birth rate. Find the probability that both countries chosen have a medium GDP and a medium birth rate.
P.S. This is a question from Cambridge Advanced Subsidiary Level and Advanced Level
My Try
I tried this with a Tree Diagram. First set of branches as Medium GDP and Second Set of branches as Medium Birth Rate.This got me the answer $frac{42}{74}timesfrac{42}{55}$.
First I need to know if this is correct.Secondly
can you help me to do this using conditional probability? Thanks a lot.
probability
probability
asked Jan 15 at 9:19
emilemil
438410
438410
add a comment |
add a comment |
1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
$begingroup$
Your answer is almost correct.
Overlooked in the calculation is that we are dealing with two different countries.
Let $B_1$ correspond with birth rate of firstly chosen country.
Let $G_2$ correspond with GDP of secondly chosen country.
Taking into account on forehand (so that no conditions for that are needed anymore) that the GDP of the first chosen country is "median" and the birth rate of the second chosen country is "median" we find:$$P(B_1=text{median}wedge G_2=text{median})=P(B_1=text{median})P(G_2=text{median}mid B_1=text{median})=frac{42}{74}frac{41}{54}$$
Under condition "$B_1=text{median}$" there are $55-1=54$ countries left that can be picked as second choice, and $42-1=41$ of them give "median" for GDP.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
add a comment |
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1 Answer
1
active
oldest
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1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
$begingroup$
Your answer is almost correct.
Overlooked in the calculation is that we are dealing with two different countries.
Let $B_1$ correspond with birth rate of firstly chosen country.
Let $G_2$ correspond with GDP of secondly chosen country.
Taking into account on forehand (so that no conditions for that are needed anymore) that the GDP of the first chosen country is "median" and the birth rate of the second chosen country is "median" we find:$$P(B_1=text{median}wedge G_2=text{median})=P(B_1=text{median})P(G_2=text{median}mid B_1=text{median})=frac{42}{74}frac{41}{54}$$
Under condition "$B_1=text{median}$" there are $55-1=54$ countries left that can be picked as second choice, and $42-1=41$ of them give "median" for GDP.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Your answer is almost correct.
Overlooked in the calculation is that we are dealing with two different countries.
Let $B_1$ correspond with birth rate of firstly chosen country.
Let $G_2$ correspond with GDP of secondly chosen country.
Taking into account on forehand (so that no conditions for that are needed anymore) that the GDP of the first chosen country is "median" and the birth rate of the second chosen country is "median" we find:$$P(B_1=text{median}wedge G_2=text{median})=P(B_1=text{median})P(G_2=text{median}mid B_1=text{median})=frac{42}{74}frac{41}{54}$$
Under condition "$B_1=text{median}$" there are $55-1=54$ countries left that can be picked as second choice, and $42-1=41$ of them give "median" for GDP.
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Your answer is almost correct.
Overlooked in the calculation is that we are dealing with two different countries.
Let $B_1$ correspond with birth rate of firstly chosen country.
Let $G_2$ correspond with GDP of secondly chosen country.
Taking into account on forehand (so that no conditions for that are needed anymore) that the GDP of the first chosen country is "median" and the birth rate of the second chosen country is "median" we find:$$P(B_1=text{median}wedge G_2=text{median})=P(B_1=text{median})P(G_2=text{median}mid B_1=text{median})=frac{42}{74}frac{41}{54}$$
Under condition "$B_1=text{median}$" there are $55-1=54$ countries left that can be picked as second choice, and $42-1=41$ of them give "median" for GDP.
$endgroup$
Your answer is almost correct.
Overlooked in the calculation is that we are dealing with two different countries.
Let $B_1$ correspond with birth rate of firstly chosen country.
Let $G_2$ correspond with GDP of secondly chosen country.
Taking into account on forehand (so that no conditions for that are needed anymore) that the GDP of the first chosen country is "median" and the birth rate of the second chosen country is "median" we find:$$P(B_1=text{median}wedge G_2=text{median})=P(B_1=text{median})P(G_2=text{median}mid B_1=text{median})=frac{42}{74}frac{41}{54}$$
Under condition "$B_1=text{median}$" there are $55-1=54$ countries left that can be picked as second choice, and $42-1=41$ of them give "median" for GDP.
answered Jan 15 at 10:14
drhabdrhab
104k545136
104k545136
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
Help is Highly Appreciated!
$endgroup$
– emil
Jan 15 at 11:22
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
$begingroup$
I am glad to help.
$endgroup$
– drhab
Jan 15 at 11:23
add a comment |
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